Critical Thinking Part 5: The Gambler's Fallacy

[Neoplantski]

"The Coin" argument excists only, and only, as logical and in theory, but if you take one coin and throw it 100 times you should get equal 50/50 heads and tails, but you won't.

We (sometimes) see patterns that are not proven to be there, but no matter that science proves and tests patterns it often relies and has its ground in theory, thus unproven and, paradoxically, pattern like.

[jnwpse]

Very true, but if I toss a coin 99 times the probability should be close to 50/50 or else there is some external influence. If I get 98 tails,out of 99, while not impossible, this is highly unlikely, and in such a case, its hard to say, but I would be right to assume that the law of probability will be satisfied at some point, and start picking out heads, because its more probable that heads will show up, then that the stupid simple coin will break the laws of probability and give me more tails.

[TinQuasimodo]

@jnwpse Or you're related to Erik Lehnsherr and need to band with others who can inexplicably alter the laws of probability as well.

[jnwpse]

@TinQuasimodo I considered magneto being in the area. I also considered shooting him if so, so as to get my reality back. But it hit me, the guy can really stop a bullet cant he? So I set out to master the kamehameha wave, which he has no influence over, considering this is pure ki. When I first started it was quite messy really. Goku makes it look so easy. You have to be as still as a rock when executing it, which was a task in and of itself, seeing as the thing has much leverage.

[d4m4s74]

I had a Reese's Peanut Butter cup once, and got a throat infection the next day. never ate them again, even though I liked it.

Same fallacy I think.

[kji02]

"So while our brains see patterns,...it takes science to prove that these patterns are real."

Awesome line. Keep them videos coming!