The math in this is absolutely atrocious. Seriously, I don't see how this can be anything other than a deliberate attempt to mislead. Tom, I have to say, I have lost all respect for you as a political strategist when you write on a chalkboard for all to see that 35% of 316,000 is 115,000, and that 31% of 316,000 is 110,000.
Your brother, Sen. Mark Begich, wrote an editorial in the ADN recently, also using inaccurate voter turnout numbers AFTER this election. It makes both of you look foolish.
If you had really used a calculator you would see that:
35% of 316,000 is actually 110,600,
31% of 316,000 is actually 97,960 (a full 12,040 off, which means your number was off by about 11%, it's hard to guess that poorly.)
and... 316,000 out of 494876 registered voters is 63.85%. The turnout in AK for the 2008 presidential election was only 66%, what made you think that this midterm election would get that close in turnout? It ended up being 52%. Off by another 11+%.. I'm sensing a pattern.
So Tom, the fundraising numbers you mentioned at the end, for Lisa and Miller, you indicated that was money raised in the last 30-40 days. You didn't give a timeline on Scott. Was that &720K also in the last 30-40 days, or was that his total take??
As I watched this video I was reminded how cool the intro is. I like that I can fully identify all of the images. Would be a good contest to stir up some interest.
Interesting to hear from Tom Begich. He makes a great Johnny Indepth. However, in the interest of truth in advertising, Lisa's chances are a mathematical
IMPROBABILITY, not impossible as stated. Could still make history. Just say'n
You guys were just telling the story that you wanted to hear.
opcn18 1 year ago
The math in this is absolutely atrocious. Seriously, I don't see how this can be anything other than a deliberate attempt to mislead. Tom, I have to say, I have lost all respect for you as a political strategist when you write on a chalkboard for all to see that 35% of 316,000 is 115,000, and that 31% of 316,000 is 110,000.
Your brother, Sen. Mark Begich, wrote an editorial in the ADN recently, also using inaccurate voter turnout numbers AFTER this election. It makes both of you look foolish.
Houdiniwill 1 year ago
If you had really used a calculator you would see that:
35% of 316,000 is actually 110,600,
31% of 316,000 is actually 97,960 (a full 12,040 off, which means your number was off by about 11%, it's hard to guess that poorly.)
and... 316,000 out of 494876 registered voters is 63.85%. The turnout in AK for the 2008 presidential election was only 66%, what made you think that this midterm election would get that close in turnout? It ended up being 52%. Off by another 11+%.. I'm sensing a pattern.
Houdiniwill 1 year ago
hes so wrong. AK aint normal.
fatzpickle 1 year ago
Let's hope your are accurate.
ElemWatson 1 year ago
So Tom, the fundraising numbers you mentioned at the end, for Lisa and Miller, you indicated that was money raised in the last 30-40 days. You didn't give a timeline on Scott. Was that &720K also in the last 30-40 days, or was that his total take??
themaninstripes1 1 year ago
Voter Review 102
gerkins1 1 year ago
As I watched this video I was reminded how cool the intro is. I like that I can fully identify all of the images. Would be a good contest to stir up some interest.
Interesting to hear from Tom Begich. He makes a great Johnny Indepth. However, in the interest of truth in advertising, Lisa's chances are a mathematical
IMPROBABILITY, not impossible as stated. Could still make history. Just say'n
TiaMalas 1 year ago
@TiaMalas Fair enough Tia is correct. Improbability, not impossibility. Good catch.
Tom Begich
TSBAnchorage 1 year ago