February 12, 2008 Primary Day in Front Royal, VA

[TryingToGetToYou]

You should do a follow up with the Obama supporters on here and ask them if they have any regrets.

[tarheel33]

NOBAMA

[warrencountyreport]

Sorry for breaking up the analysis into pieces but it was too long to fit into one comment. They should be read bottom up.

[warrencountyreport]

PART 5 Also noteworthy: In Virginia, a state President George W. Bush easily won twice, 487,000 people participated in the Republican primary while 977,000 voted in the Democratic contest.

Is there a dramatic shift in the state from red to blue or there was simply more interest in the more competitive Democratic contest that will yield the first African American or female major party presidential nominee?

The answer to that question will have to wait until November.

[warrencountyreport]

PART 4 That difference probably reflects the larger population of Virginia Beach diminishing the influence of evangelical voters associated with Rev. Robertson as compared to the smaller city of Lynchburg, where the late Rev. Falwell's church holds more sway.

But what really hurt Huckabee was a 40% crushing loss in the state's most populous area, Fairfax County, where he lost by 23,000 votes. Had that been reversed, Huckabee would have won.

[warrencountyreport]

PART 3 On the Republican side, it wasn't so simple. Senator McCain did well in more progressive Northern Virginia and the cities were pretty well split between the Sen. and Gov. Huckabee. Huckabee was the clear winner in the cities of Lynchburg and Bedford and in the counties of Amherst, Campbell, Bedford and Appomattox, all well populated with members of the late Rev. Jerry Falwell's Thomas Road Baptist Church. But Huckabee lost Virginia Beach, home base of the Rev. Pat Robertson.

[warrencountyreport]

PART 2 In Warren County, where these interviews took place, Senator Clinton won by 10% and Sen. McCain won by 4%.

With some exceptions, Sen. Obama did very well in the cities while Sen. Clinton did well in the counties.

[warrencountyreport]

PART 1 It was very interesting to talk to these folks. I finished before the polls closed because I didn't want any of the comments to be influenced by the results of the election. It was refreshing to see people from all walks of life so tuned-in to politics right now.

It is worth noting that according to unofficial state-wide results (98.6% in), Sen. Obama beat Sen. Clinton by 28% and Sen. McCain beat Gov. Huckabee by 10%. Several precincts have not reported so those results may change a bit.