Keep going Intel. I want to affordably run Linux Mint. Which is running in 6 x 4320p. Which is running Windows 8 which in VirtualBox in 4320p. Which is running high end games in max settings. While recording that game at the same time in FRAPS. Which is also running Sony Vegas or Final Cut Pro in another window in 1080p+. While running a whole bunch of nice programs in Linux like Transmission or KTorrent. While having 50 tabs open in Firefox. You can do it Intel, we're counting on you.
the density part of moore's law is set to run out very soon - around ~2035. Well, in between 20 to 30 years.
Then, we will have graphene. that's 2nm manufacturing process.
But it doesn't mean the moore's law will stop. Next we have 3d CPUs. Then we have non-atom based transistors. Then extreme mega cloud powered supercomputers...
but we'll run out of everything by the end of this century. If not earlier. Or if there won't be some big war. Then we would have perfect computer in ~2110
Moore's Law lasts only as long as the silicon holding the transistors together. Graphene could take silicon's place, keeping Moore's Law going some more years. But that will most likely be used in high-performance devices, not everyday electronic applications.
But, come on...3D molecular computing is way too important to ignore. It alone could facilitate quantum computing, getting us closer to the you-know-what.
Some people are treating Moore's Law like the Beatles: nobody wants it to end.
Just means we'll have to do it another way. How? Beats the hell out of me. I never would have thought of HAFNIUM, for Pete Squeaks!
I wouldn't be surprised if there's some molecule that can act as a transistor. There's already talk of using electrons (not atoms, electrons) for memory storage.
Yeah. That won't be the continuation of Moore's Law in the strict "number of transistors" form, but it will allow the continued doubling of processor speed which has been going on since the days of mechanical adding machines.
wt u said might be true, but no one noes wt will happens in the future, we see physical limitations atm, doesn't mean the limitation is invincible, 40years ago, ppl probably dun even noe there's a length unit- nano metre. I support your thoughts basically, but technology, hmm no one knows.
yep..but till there well find a solution..i ve seen they are investigating hardcore ins everal diferent solutions already for a problem 10-15 years ahead
It fluctuates a bit. There was a while when it was only taking a year, and for a while it seemed to settle in at eighteen months.
I wanted to write something set in 2045. To see what sort of capability they would have, I assumed a Moore's Law of THREE years. Still turned out that the average person could have a computer that runs at 24 THz and has 4 TB of RAM.
well the truth is that is can only get so small before the intermolecular forces work against size, and then we wont be able to shrink computer sizes anymore. but likely by that time, a May 2008 supercomputers abilities will be capable in something about the size of a grain of rice...
I guess we will just have to start working on doing it some other way...
By that time they will probably have Quantum computers, and then they can start making those faster and faster...haha :P
Quantum computers are still many years in the future though... they only made some tests so far, and those were Quantum computers that could only do simple math... but just image what the technology could do one day :)
We should continue the chips with graphene!
keebut 3 months ago
Keep going Intel. I want to affordably run Linux Mint. Which is running in 6 x 4320p. Which is running Windows 8 which in VirtualBox in 4320p. Which is running high end games in max settings. While recording that game at the same time in FRAPS. Which is also running Sony Vegas or Final Cut Pro in another window in 1080p+. While running a whole bunch of nice programs in Linux like Transmission or KTorrent. While having 50 tabs open in Firefox. You can do it Intel, we're counting on you.
TearofFriendship 5 months ago
A horse in a cleanroom at 1:05?! If that happened, that place would neve again be useful as a cleanroom for chipmaking... >.<
AssemblerGuy 6 months ago
Its currently 32 nm. 22nm is just next year. I think it was 17nm soon after that
CruelAngels 8 months ago
@CruelAngels 22nm is already working. Intel already demonstrated 22nm ivy bridge processors. :D
JoesPlaying 8 months ago
Moore's law will probably decline between 2020-30. Now it's already 30 nm and 20 nm or below are to be expected in the next decade or so.
HORRORTV1 10 months ago
graphene next with much research?
3tangle3 10 months ago
the density part of moore's law is set to run out very soon - around ~2035. Well, in between 20 to 30 years.
Then, we will have graphene. that's 2nm manufacturing process.
But it doesn't mean the moore's law will stop. Next we have 3d CPUs. Then we have non-atom based transistors. Then extreme mega cloud powered supercomputers...
but we'll run out of everything by the end of this century. If not earlier. Or if there won't be some big war. Then we would have perfect computer in ~2110
MenkoDany 11 months ago
Moore's Law lasts only as long as the silicon holding the transistors together. Graphene could take silicon's place, keeping Moore's Law going some more years. But that will most likely be used in high-performance devices, not everyday electronic applications.
But, come on...3D molecular computing is way too important to ignore. It alone could facilitate quantum computing, getting us closer to the you-know-what.
Some people are treating Moore's Law like the Beatles: nobody wants it to end.
stokepogue 1 year ago
gordon moore is the man
weldean46 1 year ago
What a fag video. 2007, I seriouly hope you died, cause of that utube hasn't deleted you the fuck out !
Ryuuken24 1 year ago
try more like another 10 years. but still not bad. keep up the good work.
mercenarydrunk 1 year ago
THIS video totaly ROFL
Flybyhacker 2 years ago
Moore's Law as we know it (i.e. CMOS VLSI) will run out long before 2050
45 nm scale transistors are now standard and 32 nm scale demo chips are being fabbed
20 nm is expected in 3 to 5 years
Somewhere around 10 nm there are fundamental physical limits.
This means:
Depending on the doubling time for the number of transistors (i.e.2 or 3 years) the end is 10 to 15 years from now.
westhighlander 3 years ago 14
glad someone brought that up
asdfusuck 3 years ago 2
Just means we'll have to do it another way. How? Beats the hell out of me. I never would have thought of HAFNIUM, for Pete Squeaks!
I wouldn't be surprised if there's some molecule that can act as a transistor. There's already talk of using electrons (not atoms, electrons) for memory storage.
SailorBarsoom 3 years ago
Another way = quantum computing
zacharyvince 2 years ago 2
Yeah. That won't be the continuation of Moore's Law in the strict "number of transistors" form, but it will allow the continued doubling of processor speed which has been going on since the days of mechanical adding machines.
SailorBarsoom 2 years ago
yeah
Flybyhacker 2 years ago
the end for hafnium you mean? maybe they will find something else that allows to go even smaller
EnT271 3 years ago
wt u said might be true, but no one noes wt will happens in the future, we see physical limitations atm, doesn't mean the limitation is invincible, 40years ago, ppl probably dun even noe there's a length unit- nano metre. I support your thoughts basically, but technology, hmm no one knows.
terrytsoiboy 2 years ago
13nm exactly is limit for a silicon, but with some other material it is possible to continue with Moore's law ;)
nepssis 2 years ago 15
@nepssis umm even at 90nm we dont use silicon. we use SiGe or strained silicon. it has considerably higher electron mobility.
chumbucket843 1 year ago
yep..but till there well find a solution..i ve seen they are investigating hardcore ins everal diferent solutions already for a problem 10-15 years ahead
132BigBoy 2 years ago
@westhighlander There are plenty of sub-nanometer structures that could be used as a transistor.
supertrinko 1 year ago
It fluctuates a bit. There was a while when it was only taking a year, and for a while it seemed to settle in at eighteen months.
I wanted to write something set in 2045. To see what sort of capability they would have, I assumed a Moore's Law of THREE years. Still turned out that the average person could have a computer that runs at 24 THz and has 4 TB of RAM.
And that was me being ridiculously conservative.
SailorBarsoom 3 years ago 2
I hope a new law comes that says each year instead of each two.
Solubution 3 years ago
well the truth is that is can only get so small before the intermolecular forces work against size, and then we wont be able to shrink computer sizes anymore. but likely by that time, a May 2008 supercomputers abilities will be capable in something about the size of a grain of rice...
I guess we will just have to start working on doing it some other way...
Pilanus 3 years ago
By that time they will probably have Quantum computers, and then they can start making those faster and faster...haha :P
Quantum computers are still many years in the future though... they only made some tests so far, and those were Quantum computers that could only do simple math... but just image what the technology could do one day :)
Timvanhelsdingen 3 years ago
Yes well, asml can now make 32 nm =) But its not a really sold IC. So see you next time in the 32nm series..
Dilekz 4 years ago