Dispatch: Poland's Ascent in Central Europe

[BcallingDB]

The Polish economy (Polnische Wirtschaft) is actually quite in order these days.

[paweloproxa]

he look jewish

[kimidayo1]

Yeah well... Poland recieves 10bn euro netto every year while germany pays 9bn euro netto each year, and france pays ~7bn euro every year. So if Poland would pay 3 bn netto (-13bn from now) it will also have lower growth.

If they have so much silver and gold they should start sharing it. Perhaps free some EU funds to be distributed to the other eastern european states...

[rysio92]

@kimidayo1 forgot about stupid decisions of eurotheivs from Brussels so our ecenomy cannot develop faster which costs more than stupid 10 bln of euros. I hope that eussr will collapse in few tears and we will have a real free market

[rysio92]

@kimidayo1 lol? 9 bln euros in 7-8 years man -.- first read some infos before write any dumb comments

[blackswanflea]

Biggest silver producer in Europe, biggest gold deposit in Europe, the list goes on. I'm very worried about Poland short-term but not so much medium- and long-term. In fact, I could not imagine living anywhere else. Greetings from a country with an interesting history and a bright future.

[AlexanderSigal]

Poland is a slut state and has been one for the whole history of it's existence. Poland can only become a leader in cock-sucking contest. In fact, the whole country should be renamed into Brothel and Warsaw into CockSuckerVille. Muhaha

[MaxSpeedMedia]

@AlexanderSigal Wow You're so educated , obviously You don't know anything about this country , but please continue, to entertain us with You level of intelligence.

[MaximusProteus]

@AlexanderSigal

Typical Muscovite idiot... suck your vodka bottle and stop playing smart.

[Astarforsaken]

@AlexanderSigal you reek of jealousy lol

[POLAK1Nysa]

@AlexanderSigal <--------Fail retarded troll

[arka67]

obviously Friedman takes historical look at that part of the world , and historically Poland played a very important role, even in 1900s Poland's fight against Russia and Germany was very inspirational to smaller nations in Europe. Ukraine is simply too divided and weak, to play any major role, other countries are simply too small, there for I can see countries like Hungary and Romania, Latvia allaying its politics in line with Poland !

[ntskl]

As Western Europe sinks ever deeper in the quagmire of multiculturalism and liberalism, it's quite possible that Poland will become a serious regional power in Europe.

[pretender2u]

We saw the ''influence'' of Poland in EU on 22 JAY convention(The Schenghen bulshit of The Nederland)

[ANTEKBT]

Nice photo with the horse 2:34, I lived in Poland 30 years and I have never seen people using horses this way LOL, anyway Poland is ruled from Vatican you forgot to mention that and Sikorski's kids are attending school run by Opus Dei. Poles are paying 1.04% of tax on catholic church, there is no choice jews, atheist, muslims everybody pay.

[MaximusProteus]

@ANTEKBT

No, they didn`t forget, but ignored the imagined, unreal opinions of the anti theist fanatics and communist activists, just like every sane person does.

You`re enough desperate to not hold back from lying...

[ANTEKBT]

@MaximusProteus PIS with you.

[MaximusProteus]

@ANTEKBT Powiedział co wiedział...

[liinisx]

Estonia is in Eurozone - shame on you Stratfor for an incorrect and outdated map!

[Teranex]

Will Poland grow in power? Most certainly yes. Yet i do not believe they will grow to the same point as Stratfor suggests here. Its a real shame that Stratfor has to follow the predictions of its founder and the analyists cant give their own opinion.

[TOTCD]

@Teranex Well I've read Friedman's books.

And whenever he makes a claim he explains us why he believes so.

Just like any prediction it isn't a fact yet.

It hasn't happened yet. Poland has grown in power the last decade.

I think it will grow even more like you said.

It's not a shame though that they can't follow their own predictions lol.

They can always found their own intelligence company

[MissileD11]

Poland knows it has to grow stronger as the Russian Bear is coming back.

[WojtuszewskiPL]

Good video :)

[wiang11]

its very interesting that people often point out that europe is doomed because of its low birthrate but in the case of poland it doesnt seem to matter

polands birthrate is around 1.3 to .1.4 it now has 38 milion inhabitants

its estimated that polands population int he year 2050 is some where between 25 or 30 milion. idont see how a country with 30 or 40 milion is supose to dominate europe or eurasia as george friedman tells us

[WojtuszewskiPL]

@wiang11 Get written proof of that?

[wiang11]

@WojtuszewskiPL of what the stats just google birth rate poland

[tojoconfused]

@wiang11 - Poland has a long road to travel before it's a contender in anything, if their reaction to the Kaczyński air crash is anything to go by; bullying autocratic clown reenacts Katyn by wiping-out Poland's 'elite', and they blame Russia..

[MaximusProteus]

@tojoconfused They? To put a blame first there should be an investigation and this one is a sad excuse which prooves incompetence, unwillingnes and either a fear or servilism to Russia. The way Moscow deals with it makes people suspicious.

This is not the only case that shows Poland`s on a road to become a client state under this leadership. Stratfor is wrong about its growing political importance. Visegrad group, created before EU acession, or some security framework makes nothing.

[MaximusProteus]

@wiang11

How can the population decrease with a positive birth rate? Also, your figures are wrong, Poland`s birth rate is 10.01 (January 1, 2011 - CIA World Factbook). I`d be more afraid of emmigration if it goes for population loss.

Obviously Poland can`t dominate Europe and especially not Eurasia, it`s just ridiculous, but... its potential as a one of the biggest states and markets of EU isn`t represented by the political position, which is none.

[wiang11]

@MaximusProteus positive birthrate ? i dont know what you mean in order to sustain a population

you need to have a birthrate around 2.00 otherwise the population willshrink as the cia factbook points out

poland population growth  negative -0.062

[MaximusProteus]

@wiang11 So now you say the Poland`s birth rate is -0.062 and a while before it was 1.3 to .1.4? Please, make up your mind and do some more researche on birth rate and its figures for the European states.

[MrOdrzut]

@MaximusProteus because old people die, so there should be around 2.1 kids for family in order to replace these old people.

So Poland population will age. But it will become a problem in 20-30 years. Now the baby boom of 1980s goes to work after university (Poland has very big percentage of students because of public funded university education).

So 25-30 years old Poles goes to work, starts buying houses, marry, etc- for economy this is very good.

[MaximusProteus]

@MrOdrzut See the map in wiki article "Ageing of Europe". It can be a big issue, but in 20-30 years many things can change.

Actually Poland has the biggest number of students and academic graduates in EU, but... they don`t really "go to work" as you say, unemployment amongst the graduates exceeded 50% in recent years. It`s just easy to say "buying houses" if you have a credit solvency.

[MrOdrzut]

@MaximusProteus: well, I have 27 years, and just bought a flat.

Most of my friends from university have job (but salary is stupidly small) and also marry or are already married (but few have or plan kids). Many buy a flat. Of course - everybody has to take a mortage, mostly in PLN with "Rodzina na swoim" program (gov. subsidized mortgage system).

Maybe my friends are not representative.

[MaximusProteus]

@MrOdrzut Congratulations :)

I was just recalling statistics, you and your friends seems to be in the other, more fortunate, 50% of the graduates. That program was a great idea, but... it`s going to end soon, it was recently issued to cancell it till 31 december 2012.

[MrOdrzut]

@MaximusProteus by the way - I was responding to the claim that Poland has problems with shortage of labour (I interpret ageing population problems as such), and I agree we will have such problems, but after 20-30 years. Now we have the reverse (as you can see people are graduating and try to get a work, start a family, buy a house etc).