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  • An overly simplified version of oil pricing that takes into account ZERO extraneous factors that determine oil prices.

    One factor would be the value of the currency. Certainly, a major factor in pricing, right?

    Prudo Bay, Gull Island look into it. Oil companies have more oil than OPEC, on tap, right there in Alaska. Don't you think that a position like that might just allow oil companies to artificially adjust prices?

    And who owns a major shares of these oil companies? ROYALTY!

  • manipulation of supply is possible but that doesn't change the argument it just alters the production curve.

    the argument stands

  • Well, if the curve is price, then it changes the price, too.

    Now, you have the ability to manipulate supply to range from a cut-off of 1/3 the energy needs of the nation to the flood of enough oil to cover 100% the 2/3 foreign oil "dependance."

    Then, those EXACT SAME PEOPLE have the ability to buy any amount of oil on the, "free," market using money generated from loans backed by WORTHLESS derivitaves. That affects demand.

    They affect supply and demand to control the PRICE curve.

  • yes that could be the case only for the time period of the contract in question

    otherwise they end up with the oil in their backyard

  • No, that is NOT true.

    When they speculatively buy the oil, they recieved the paper, not the oil, for the futures on the oil they buy, then they issue "derivatives" which are backed by these peices of paper issued at the high prices, and when the oil price crashes back down, instead of oil being left in their back yard, the same people who speculated the oil, and issued the derivatives, get "bailout" money from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury and dump the oil on the American taxpayer.

  • a future is a derivative?

    what your saying is they sell it on... in some fashion in which case the reissued derivative (in what ever form) has to return the oil to "someones" back yard. the second tier of buyers in your scenario become speculators who own the oil. Just because someone managed to grab a chair when the music stopped doesn't make the oil disappear. everyone is following the pit price irrespective of how much speculative cash is flowing into it.

  • @FreeinTX Nice conspiracy theories. Now go listen to Alex Jones on your way to the Tea-bagger partry.

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