@LiveAndLetMetal Actually, it's not entirely based on luck. The decision she made to swap was the best decision she could've made. There's 22 boxes in the game. The box she originally picked, number 12, had a 1/22 chance of being the 75,000, the box she swapped for, number 12, had a 21/22 chance of being the 75,000.
When you start, you have a 1/22 chance of picking the box with the £250000 in it.
Therefore there is a 21/22 chance that the box you have on your desk is NOT the £2500000.
Therefore, if the £250000 is still on the board at the end, and you are offered the swap, I think this means that you have a 21/22 chance of getting the £250000 if you swap.
However, I find problem in my own reasoning, as you could also say you only have a 1/22 chance of picking the £10 and then the probabilities are reversed...
So I suppose seeing as there are two left...
That would mean it's a 50/50 chance which set of probabilities you'll end up with.
Ok so I will agree with you. But not that it's 50-50, £250000 or £10, 50-50 whether it will be 21/22 £250000 or 21/22 £10...
@samisealo The fact that they're opened at random and not with knowledge as to where the big money is the trouble with your hypothesis. Monty Hall knows where the big money lies in the namesake problem.
I made that error myself. Look on Wikipedia, and you'll see the probability tree and why Monty Hall isn't the answer here. Or just watch episodes and see how many times swapping would've been optimal.
"...Look on Wikipedia, and you'll see the probability tree and why Monty Hall ***>>>ISN'T<<<*** the answer here. Or just watch episodes and see how many times swapping would've been optimal."
Monty Hall is a problem where the host KNOWS where the money is and opens a dud after the contestant chooses one of 3 doors/boxes/etc. Then the contestant is favored when he swaps. Here, the boxes are opened blindly, so swap/no swap are equally valid.
@samisealo lol learn good grammar? have you seen your last line in your post? feel stupid you ought to sunshine, i dont care about monty hall either, never heard of the unpopular cunt, a bit like you really!
My last line made perfect sense. I will explain it to you however seeing as your basic knowledge knowledge of the English language appears to be lacking.
Basically what it means is that I am not sure would you would class as a good nursery, I thought mine was good enough but obviously yours must have been better if they taught you even basic probabilities and reasoning behind the Monty Hall problem (Y).
Perhaps I should've said "And I don't know about mine...". Sorry intelligent sir.
@samisealo you made a grammical error in your last post when you were pulling me on mine (not that there was anything wrong with my grammar) which made you look like a donkey, i think you dont have much to say yet you say too much of it, and it sounds to me your still in nursery!
Ok if you want to point out my one grammatical error allow me to highlight all of yours:
"what are you driverling on about!"
"instead i think i will point and laff at you!"
"unless you have knowlage"
Just to name a few...
Not to mention numerous capitalisation errors.
All I was doing was having a conversation with Yabbaguy about the maths behind it. Like I said, if you are unaware of the things we are referencing then there is no need for you to get involved. Especially with insults.
@samisealo for a start son, i dont give 2 hoots about punctuation on you tube, but since you tried pulling me on mine i thought i would pull you on yours,
"And I don't about about me but it sounds like" thats what you put
The power and the hold money has on every human being is phenomenal. We go to war for it, we steal for it, we gamble for it, we cry for it, we murder for it, we conspire for it, we love for it, we hate for it, we lie for it, we work for it, we have sex for it, we believe for it, we hurt for it, we put our faith in it.we need for it.
@ENFowler93 only obvious if you were oblivious to the fact that there was no luck involved, or if you wouldnt wanna kill yourself knowing that you were taking the red away from the table and replacing it with a blue
I saw that happen before with 1p and £75,000. He was offered the swap and no money, he opened the box and he only won 1p! He won additional £15,000 after that in the veiwers competition.
That's awful comments...just coz she "had no choice" doesn't mean she didn't deserve the win...at the time there was a VERY long run of blue amounts coming to the table...so she really had no choice to swap her box away, bearing in mind she could very easily have brought a red to the table for the first time in weeks!
Our banker in the U.S. typically doesn't bait contestants, nor do those contestants go for it. Then, however, when the one opportunity to shoot at it with a 341K vs. 25 / 1M board occurred, our contestant blew it.
Only two people have taken a shot at a "Power Seven" without a net, and both didn't win.
However, crashing like Trevor loses 9,899.99 while baiting Laura lost 215,000.
The odds are HEAVILY against the banker when he puts such low offers up - the lower the offer, the more he can lose by forcing someone to win 250K, and the less he can gain by forcing someone to win 1p.
If the banker had just offered what he was supposed to, 126,500, he could cause the contestant to lose 123,500 by taking out the 3K, or cause the contestant to win 123,500 by taking out the 250K.
For Laura, however, he laid odds of 205,000 / 42,000 = 4.88 / 1 = 3.88:1 against himself by offering 45,000 quid.
LOL 2:20
AbsoluteScooby 2 months ago
noel is like wtf 75k is like 20 mins of this show to me lmao
stevewhu 2 months ago
@LiveAndLetMetal Actually, it's not entirely based on luck. The decision she made to swap was the best decision she could've made. There's 22 boxes in the game. The box she originally picked, number 12, had a 1/22 chance of being the 75,000, the box she swapped for, number 12, had a 21/22 chance of being the 75,000.
Krfcflanker 7 months ago
@Krfcflanker wtf are you on about?
TheNutter7000 6 months ago
Shh... The wanker is calling.
MatthewDavidParr 8 months ago
lol pause at 2:23 and look at the guys face
chaoticmonkeyify 8 months ago 4
whay wasnt she offered any money?
rainxxxx 9 months ago
didn't she lose 75k pounds? why are they cheering then?
keeshorror 10 months ago
@keeshorror nvm
keeshorror 10 months ago
why are the other players cheering they ain't getting fuck all if i was there i really wouldn't give a fuck what they won till it was my go
DAJAZDJ1 11 months ago
mouthy fat cunt
Goonboy7777 11 months ago
@Goonboy7777 Agree.
Hollandsmanneke 11 months ago
They take this shit seriously LOL
Marzbarz007 1 year ago
Monty Hall problem.
You should always swap.
samisealo 1 year ago
@samisealo Incorrect. Because no one has any knowledge of what is in the boxes, it's a simple 50-50. Google it.
LyokoIsCool 1 year ago
@LyokoIsCool
Allow me to explain my reasoning =).
Perhaps not quite monty hall however:
When you start, you have a 1/22 chance of picking the box with the £250000 in it.
Therefore there is a 21/22 chance that the box you have on your desk is NOT the £2500000.
Therefore, if the £250000 is still on the board at the end, and you are offered the swap, I think this means that you have a 21/22 chance of getting the £250000 if you swap.
samisealo 1 year ago
@samisealo
However, I find problem in my own reasoning, as you could also say you only have a 1/22 chance of picking the £10 and then the probabilities are reversed...
So I suppose seeing as there are two left...
That would mean it's a 50/50 chance which set of probabilities you'll end up with.
Ok so I will agree with you. But not that it's 50-50, £250000 or £10, 50-50 whether it will be 21/22 £250000 or 21/22 £10...
If you see what I mean =).
samisealo 1 year ago
@samisealo The fact that they're opened at random and not with knowledge as to where the big money is the trouble with your hypothesis. Monty Hall knows where the big money lies in the namesake problem.
I made that error myself. Look on Wikipedia, and you'll see the probability tree and why Monty Hall isn't the answer here. Or just watch episodes and see how many times swapping would've been optimal.
yabbaguy 10 months ago
@yabbaguy
Ah yes ^^. Of course.
So I suppose, my previous reasoning works, because it's 50/50 which way the 1/22 will go, because you don't know what's in the boxes =p?
samisealo 10 months ago
@samisealo NO IT WOULDNT HAVE BEEN OPTIMAL, ITS A 50-50, you should have learnt this in nusery!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
@yabbaguy what are you driverling on about!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
@rainxxxx Like said, look up Monty Hall problem on Wikipedia. That's what.
yabbaguy 9 months ago
@yabbaguy if its to do with a theroy of over coming a 50 50 then im not gona waste my time, instead i think i will point and laff at you!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
@rainxxxx You misread. My original remark:
"...Look on Wikipedia, and you'll see the probability tree and why Monty Hall ***>>>ISN'T<<<*** the answer here. Or just watch episodes and see how many times swapping would've been optimal."
Monty Hall is a problem where the host KNOWS where the money is and opens a dud after the contestant chooses one of 3 doors/boxes/etc. Then the contestant is favored when he swaps. Here, the boxes are opened blindly, so swap/no swap are equally valid.
yabbaguy 9 months ago
@yabbaguy true all boxes are opened blindly, the host does not know where the money is though, only the independnt judicator
rainxxxx 9 months ago
@rainxxxx
@yabbaguy
This is exactly what me and yabbaguy are saying.
Learn some manners and some grammar before you come storming in here telling us how to do maths.
If you're not aware of the situations (such as Monty Hall) we are referencing then it's best just to stay out of it..
And I don't about about me but it sounds like you went to a VERY good Nursey.
samisealo 9 months ago
@samisealo lol learn good grammar? have you seen your last line in your post? feel stupid you ought to sunshine, i dont care about monty hall either, never heard of the unpopular cunt, a bit like you really!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
@rainxxxx
My last line made perfect sense. I will explain it to you however seeing as your basic knowledge knowledge of the English language appears to be lacking.
Basically what it means is that I am not sure would you would class as a good nursery, I thought mine was good enough but obviously yours must have been better if they taught you even basic probabilities and reasoning behind the Monty Hall problem (Y).
Perhaps I should've said "And I don't know about mine...". Sorry intelligent sir.
samisealo 9 months ago
@samisealo you made a grammical error in your last post when you were pulling me on mine (not that there was anything wrong with my grammar) which made you look like a donkey, i think you dont have much to say yet you say too much of it, and it sounds to me your still in nursery!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
@rainxxxx
Ok if you want to point out my one grammatical error allow me to highlight all of yours:
"what are you driverling on about!"
"instead i think i will point and laff at you!"
"unless you have knowlage"
Just to name a few...
Not to mention numerous capitalisation errors.
All I was doing was having a conversation with Yabbaguy about the maths behind it. Like I said, if you are unaware of the things we are referencing then there is no need for you to get involved. Especially with insults.
samisealo 9 months ago
@samisealo for a start son, i dont give 2 hoots about punctuation on you tube, but since you tried pulling me on mine i thought i would pull you on yours,
"And I don't about about me but it sounds like" thats what you put
your not in uni now!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
@LyokoIsCool exactly, but there are too many thick cunts and superstitious puffs to realize this, unless you have knowlage then its 50-50!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
just before he opens the box he goes ''uhh julie have i?'' in a proper pervy voice lool
cheddachayze 1 year ago
to all people who say that you should with your box.
Busher50 1 year ago
Lucky her.
DanTheStripe 1 year ago
The power and the hold money has on every human being is phenomenal. We go to war for it, we steal for it, we gamble for it, we cry for it, we murder for it, we conspire for it, we love for it, we hate for it, we lie for it, we work for it, we have sex for it, we believe for it, we hurt for it, we put our faith in it.we need for it.
bazfanv2 1 year ago
nuttta
jazi123100 1 year ago
goddam i really wanted to see that fat slag lose
slinkya982 1 year ago
2:21 What is that bloke doing?? Throwing A Wobbler
TechBlogHelper 1 year ago
He didn't offer anything? That defeats the entire purpose of the game, fucking retards.
lundell100 1 year ago
Bet she's gone double the size with that Money by now!
mkh4n 1 year ago
2:23 hahahahaha wtf
FilthyShadow 1 year ago
1:09
LelouchXLamperouge 1 year ago
the banker was like : oh shit ! ! ! the fat bitch won :( =))
boxajr 1 year ago
Comment removed
NinjaStarfish94 1 year ago
@NinjaStarfish94 what money there was no offer, i want to know what the fat cow said earlier on to make the banker make her go all the way!
rainxxxx 9 months ago
Brilliant television
MrDoncos 1 year ago
this dond has way much more drama
warmonster86 1 year ago
The little greyed haired old lady you see at around the 250 mark, try and find the footage of her playing, she was brilliant.
AnglOsAxOn2 1 year ago
Is it me or does this game seem planed because their is no offer and then she swap the box just look planed
sunnywwefan 1 year ago
she is a one fat ass
greenxboxmonkey 1 year ago
@greenxboxmonkey Who gives a fuck?
BalthaxZelda 1 year ago
Swapping would be the obvious choice. Anyone who has seen the movie "21" would know that.
ENFowler93 1 year ago
@ENFowler93 only obvious if you were oblivious to the fact that there was no luck involved, or if you wouldnt wanna kill yourself knowing that you were taking the red away from the table and replacing it with a blue
rainxxxx 9 months ago
the guy cried
shadguy1 2 years ago
I saw that happen before with 1p and £75,000. He was offered the swap and no money, he opened the box and he only won 1p! He won additional £15,000 after that in the veiwers competition.
Did anyone else see that ??
Scrabbler27 2 years ago
@Scrabbler27 Yep, that was weird itself!
BigDaveyDB 1 year ago
thats fucked up.
markyaz68 2 years ago
That isn't fair. Has this ever happened before on the show with a low blue and a high red in play?
SirPenguin75 2 years ago
Theres been 1p and 250000 in play before!
DoctorWhoMe 2 years ago
Really? What happened that game? Did they win the 250,000?
SirPenguin75 2 years ago
Well. Ive seen it twice.
The first was just a few nights ago. I recorded it on my phone. 1p.
The other one was a few months ago. 250000.
DoctorWhoMe 2 years ago
@SirPenguin75 yeh. name was alice
6loveutube 1 year ago
@SirPenguin75 loads of times :S
andrewatchison1991 2 years ago
1:15
gamezboy123 2 years ago
this money will feed her for a week...
IINaThYII 2 years ago 10
lol 1:10
GlennD96 2 years ago
Dumb banker XD
odinboyen 2 years ago
OMG the fella's face at 2:25!!! lol
Yellowzebra8 2 years ago 3
that is unfair of the banker
nooberr23 2 years ago 2
This has been flagged as spam show
She's just going to spend all that money on cake... What a waste :(
ScottAcky 2 years ago 2
Comment removed
ScottAcky 2 years ago
This has been flagged as spam show
FAT BITCH!
SASBSPARA 2 years ago
£0 - deal or no deal? What a total wanker of a banker.
PurushaDesa 2 years ago 34
This has been flagged as spam show
Stupid Fat Arigant Cow She Ugly !!!!! How The Fuck Can U Say Shes Cute !!!!!!! Look At Here For Fuck Sake !!!!!!!
SASBSPARA 2 years ago
@SASBSPARA Go away you strange weirdo. All you are is a sad loser who insults people
unclekevo 1 year ago
That's awful comments...just coz she "had no choice" doesn't mean she didn't deserve the win...at the time there was a VERY long run of blue amounts coming to the table...so she really had no choice to swap her box away, bearing in mind she could very easily have brought a red to the table for the first time in weeks!
BigDaveyDB 2 years ago 2
dat wos gutts
BD5gangstar 3 years ago 2
This comment has received too many negative votes show
Almost every contestant on DOND comes across well-this one didn't-gobby fat arrogant cow.
boundsgreenboy 3 years ago
WTF???? LOL
Brian211978 3 years ago 3
Julies got a nice looking face, she's cute. Gorgeous eyes.
itsme3cyay 3 years ago 3
lipo - grand a stone?
MediaShutdown 3 years ago 2
shes gonna buy alot of chicken drumsticks with that
mickymckenzie 3 years ago
bohemoth
imastinkingrat 3 years ago 2
This comment has received too many negative votes show
Hideous!!!
What an awful woman
SurvivorofRice 3 years ago
Our banker in the U.S. typically doesn't bait contestants, nor do those contestants go for it. Then, however, when the one opportunity to shoot at it with a 341K vs. 25 / 1M board occurred, our contestant blew it.
Only two people have taken a shot at a "Power Seven" without a net, and both didn't win.
It took 243 games to get our jackpot winner.
quadrupleplay 3 years ago
Gosh you were fast with this, great game!
ThePiggyDoes 3 years ago
See, banker? Stop baiting people when there's no net. As if Laura Pearce didn't teach you that.
quadrupleplay 3 years ago 2
Nine times out of ten, it works though, and we see crash after crash after crash. But then you get people like Betty and Julie.
BigDaveyDB 3 years ago 2
However, crashing like Trevor loses 9,899.99 while baiting Laura lost 215,000.
The odds are HEAVILY against the banker when he puts such low offers up - the lower the offer, the more he can lose by forcing someone to win 250K, and the less he can gain by forcing someone to win 1p.
quadrupleplay 3 years ago
If the banker had just offered what he was supposed to, 126,500, he could cause the contestant to lose 123,500 by taking out the 3K, or cause the contestant to win 123,500 by taking out the 250K.
For Laura, however, he laid odds of 205,000 / 42,000 = 4.88 / 1 = 3.88:1 against himself by offering 45,000 quid.
quadrupleplay 3 years ago 2
This comment has received too many negative votes show
stfu....
stinton15 3 years ago
Brilliant win! Long overdue too!
BigDaveyDB 3 years ago