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  • if you think that, you are dumb.

  • Who cares about Montana, they only have 3 electoral votes. Obama should focus on North Carolina and Missouri. Ohio? Shmeh. Obama has a pretty large lead there.

    I find it hilarious that McCain invested hardly any money or campaigning time in Indiana, taking for granted it would go red (as it has since 1964). Obama swooped in and campaigned the hell out of Indiana and Ohio. Result? Both states go Blue!

  • Obama is going to win.

  • I hear Sarah Palin is trying to get something out of her shameless exploitation by laying some groundwork for a future campaign. That's wishful thinking on her part, but the thugs in the hierarchy of the Republican party are going to rip her to shreds and send her back to Alaska with her tail between her legs for straying from the reservation. She's totally clueless as to what's in store for her when this campaign is over.

  • if palin get elected to anything, i have no faith in mankind

  • Hey fuckhead, who was even talking to your drama queen ass? Answer that shit first, you simple minded sob.

  • Let's get real. The only question left is how big Obama's victory going to be on election night. McCain and his lunatic supporters have thrown the kitchen sink at Obama, and NOTHING HAS WORKED. They've even stooped to shouting death threats against the man. And they're not going to be able to steal the election this time around because they're going to be overwhelmed by force on election day. People are fed up with the Republicans and their bullshit.

  • Obama is going to win. Yay!

  • I'm Subscribing

  • this country better not be getting ready to reward McCain for his terrible month of smears and lies.

    It had better not be.

  • thank you for your channel. it is very informative. but with all the different polls and sources etc... if i had to decipher them, i think think i might jump off a building. so thank you for trying to be clear and concise.

  • McCain will die? Na...he's got highly trained military doctors on him all the time to check his health. He's very healthy they say. Hell, his own mother is 95 years old and acts like she's still 30. Healthy family. I'd be afraid of Obama completely, but I do believe that he will be assasinated within the first 3 months. That leaves Joe Biden to mess us up more than Palin ever would. And to the tax cut comment, usually people who make millions of dollars deserve it because they work hard.

  • Hey, fuckhead, it's against the law to advocate killing someone. You're going to wind up getting reported to the Secret Service.

  • Hey, fuckhead. I'm not advocating killing anybody. I have a fear of him getting killed. I have my right to say what my thoughts are. It's against the law to threaten, which I didn't threaten to kill anybody. Learn the law before you come calling me something rude like that. I'm enjoying having a conversation about politics, and you're ruining it for everybody. Plus, saying that McCain is going to die of age, is advocatng...watch what you say or you'll get arrested! Geez get real man.

  • joe biden, more scary than palin? that is just about the most stupid fuckin thing i have ever heard.

  • Palin is clueless.

  • Yeah , yeah , i'll believe the final result . JV

  • Obama 08 mcain is probily die during his election leaving Sarah palin to fuck this country even more

  • Why do the people that make millions a year deserve a tax cut again? lol

  • House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio has sent a letter to President Bush asking him to get the DoJ involved in the ongoing Republican attempt to suppress the vote in Ohio, BOO John Boehner and BOO Mukasey if he goes along with it.

  • Under McCain's tax plan, he will be giving 100% of people a tax cut. The more you make, the more you save. When a business (big or small) saves more money, the faster it could expand. When a business grows, so do jobs and therefore, more people will be working. The more people that work, the more taxes will be going towards the government. Also, more people that work, get more money to spend on products from many other businesses! Tax cutting businesses is where economic growth is. Vote McCain!

  • you're a moron.

  • actually mccain wont give a tax cut to anyone under the top 5% of america.

    WHen you talk about buisness you have no idea - why? Because no one at the moment even has money to spend on buisnesses in the first place so it doesnt matter if you give buisness a tax cut because they wont be selling enough.

  • Heh, really? Look at Mellonomics, which was in play in the 1920s, brought back by Reagan, then brought back by Bush. Everytime a recession/depression.

    Stop pandering to the rich, it doesn't work... Ridiculous.

  • Everyone here, please get out and vote. I just got my Registration Approved letter in the mail, and my polling location is just up the street - So Im all in for Barack on Nov. 4th - Im also bringing my camera to record potential fraud to report to TPM. This is all great news for Obama.

    OBAMA-BIDEN 2008 !!!!!!!!!!!!1

  • obama/bidden 2008 vote for change not much more of all off the same.

  • Vote Obama! McCain is supported by Hezzbolla. Palin supports abortion clinic bombings (she doesn't classify it as domestic terrorism.) and she wants Alaska to succeed from the Union. (AIP)

  • I've already voted for McCain/Palin, as has my entire family!

  • GO VOTE EVERYONE!!!!

    BE A CITIZEN!!!

  • Let's not take anything for granted and let's continue to work hard to get the GOP out of the White House. These last 10 days the GOP is gonna try their nastiest attacks, the far-right is giving out dvd's at local churches here in NC it's sickening, God forgive them they don't know they're being used by corrupt GOP politicians. We have to continue to debunk smears and make sure we explain ppl the real facts. Let's get out the vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden !!!!

  • Well done ! You are a successful geneous one... Barak Obama has even more in favour. You will know after the election is over. Economy matters !

  • obama/biden 08

  • WATF is the middle state problem ?

  • Informative video; however, if I dare to make an suggestion, you make comparisons to previous elections, for example, if Bush was up by so many points over Kerry, or vice versa -- even though major improvements have been made in election polling.

  • its becoz u have guns so criminals carry guns

  • WTF are you talking about?! Seriously, you make no God damn sense in that gibberish you just posted.

  • fuck your second ammendment, save the internet instead.

  • Not to mention the electoral votes are at 277 for Obama and 174 for McCain. So now it's up to Diebold to say who wins.

  • The ground game will be the difference.

  • Abc, Wash post, NYT and most other polls, a sample favoring democrat voters are always used. The fact is that in 2004, just as many dems voted as republicans. So expect fair polling in final week and tigher poll results (pollsters adjust polls fairly to protect hides). When will these pollsters ever learn that they cannot hide their experimental blunders will just one week of proper polling methods? I don't get it. Just watch and see Mccain win because he's really even up in proper polling.

  • well done!

  • The Gop always has a way to get what they want

    goddam assholes

  • screw the polls....

    according to all the polls in 04, kerry was supposed to win

    no sitting president with a rating under 50 had ever won reelection

    but bush won

    and rove did it again

  • brabon,

    kerry, if you can remember, was slightly ahead in only a few of the polls. further, kerry was virtually tied with bush in the swing states he needed to prevail. this election, however, has obama up by high single digits or double digits in EVERY swing state, with the exception of florida and ohio. remember, obama needs just one of the ten swing states hes put in play to come out victorious - and this is according to some of the most conservative polls. youre nervous, i know it. obama!

  • im sorry....but before both 2000 and 2004 i was sure the dem candidate would win...i know that 2 elections were stolen...i know that thousands have been purged from the voter rolls in this election, and voting machines are already doing wierd things...i know i just got push polled...i know that mccain sold his soul to the rove...errr...devil...im waiting til nov 5 to celebrate or cry

  • I wonder what would be considered substantial: 55pts, 60pts? For any other vote that would seem only slightly ahead, but when you're dealing with such an enormous number of people voting for one of 2 candidates, I guess 60% of the vote would be considered a landslide.

  • McCain's strategy question remains"Can you fear me now?"

  • John's counting on those fixed voting machines.

  • I think that a lot off Americans see that Obama is their only hope to restore the USA and how the rest off the world sees them.

  • for Colorado you showed Wyoming, they are both the shape of a square, but two very different states

  • I saw that too. I was like "Wtf Colorado isnt a red state." I had to watch it again.

  • ur way too optimistic. Montana, Georgia are gonna go for mccain.

  • Cite your sources.

    ....oh, you don't have any?

    Shut the fuck up.

  • this comment made me lol

  • umm.. i dont know my sources are CNN, NBC, ABC, Fox, Washington Post polls of polls, which show that Obama is down in those Georgia and Montana states by 6-10 points.

    i am a obama supporter and i think more attention should be placed on states like North Carolina and Ohio.

    unless u follow this stuff xexkxex - i suggest YOU shut the fuck up.

  • LOL, Matt.

  • the scruff gets the chicks tho. plus, politics is the last refuge for the ugly and the desperate, so you're supposed to look kinda scraggly.

  • Obama FTW!!

  • LIBERALS AND MODERATES!

    Please vote for Senator Obama! We need his intelligent, thoughtful leadership to pull us out of this crisis. If we give the reigns of this country to Senator McCain we will see the same thing happen as happened during the Hoover Administration: Great Depression.

    Please vote! It is your right, and your DUTY!

    Ignore the polls, get out and vote no matter how much it seems Dr. Obama will win.

  • ahhhh,,, if ifs and buts wuz' candies and nuts, everyday'd be Christmas ;-}

    these next ten days of anticipation are gonna' be interesting; will mcplain implode? will obiden overexpose their socialist leanings? or will, under closer scrutiny, barrack obama and senator joseph biden be more concretely revealed as a real party of hope and change?

    rest assured my lovelies, mcain and palin have revealed a substantial vacuum of ideas, and have worked hard to prove that they are not the party of hope

  • Well we all remember 2000..don't we?

    the GOP have had a mysterious influence (have not been able to expose them yet) But everyone know that voter fraud is an big issue.

    Polls & the winner of the debate stated Gore and Kerry would win. Somehow Bush managed to win.....COME NOV 4th take nothing for granted.

    Get out and vote pick -by all means take a cell phone and report anything that anything that could possibly be considered as "fishy"

    It will alot harder for them to steal this election

  • I have a feeling that Obama will be over 300 but it will be hard

  • Thanks for putting together another great video.  I always enjoy hearing your insights!

  • rock on wit yer bad self

  • this guy is sexy as hell :D

  • I appreciate all of TPM's work, but there's nothing to be gained from gloating. Remember that episode of Simpsons where Bart was running for class president and he had a victory party at recess and everyone was so busy celebrating that nobody voted for him? Yeah. Yeah--you remember.

  • GO TPM!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • 11 days ya'll! Make it happen people!

    OBAMA/BIDEN '08!!!

    (P.S. To hell with Joe the Plumber already, give me Joe the Senator.)

  • nay, Joe the VP!

    :-)

  • Thanks for the vid buddy. It's always great to see you.

  • Your IQ must be off the charts!!

  • Richardgwm: "Electing a President isn't a popularity contest. "

    Actually, yeah, it is.

  • great stuff, thanks

  • The only "poll" that counts is the one taken on election day.

  • good job!! u smrt

  • There's no doubt that that's true, but until then, there are plenty of others to give us an idea of how things are going.

    Saying that there's only one poll that counts is really missing the point, which is that for all of us who have an interest in this election, both from an academic, and a material perspective, these polls offer a great insight into the minds and views of the electorate.

  • Thanks for that input but I can also tell you that I personally know over one hundred individuals who are registered voters and have never taken part in any political poll. Polls are basically a statistical study and have been wrong before.

  • but... their is a very evident trend. It's been said before McCain had issues with the base, although Palin gave him the base it also turned some away. Palin is not a hit with independents and it's very likely the polls give a sort of pseudo accuracy.

  • Yes, but we can sit around analyzing polls and trends until the cows come home and it won't be over until the fat lady sings on Nov. 4.

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